Potential new EFL Cup header

EFL Cup

MK Dons
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Morecambe

MK Dons
2 - 0
Morecambe

O'Hora (18'), Dennis (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between MK Dons and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: MK Dons 6-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Morecambe

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Morecambe
Friday, November 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for MK Dons in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for MK Dons.

Result
MK DonsDrawMorecambe
59.9% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)21.97% (0.0019999999999989 0)18.13% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.76% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96% (0.056999999999995 0.06)46.04% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65% (0.054000000000002 0.05)68.34% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)14.96% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.62% (0.010000000000005 0.01)43.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.86% (0.082000000000001 0.08)39.13% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (0.074000000000002 0.07)75.85% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 59.9%
    Morecambe 18.13%
    Draw 21.96%
MK DonsDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 59.9%
1-1 @ 10.43%
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.96%
0-1 @ 5.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.53% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Morecambe

MK Dons
88.9%
Draw
4.4%
Morecambe
6.7%
45
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Morecambe
0-4
MK Dons
Grigg (16', 36'), Grant (62'), Dennis (67')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Morecambe
Darling (20'), Harvie (79')
Kasumu (32'), Lewington (56')

Gibson (7'), Connolly (67'), Phillips (86'), Ayunga (89')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
0-4
MK Dons

McLoughlin (32')
Eisa (23'), O'Riley (40', 82'), Darling (64')
O'Hora (34')
Mar 12, 2019 7.45pm
Morecambe
4-2
MK Dons
Bennett (21', 57'), Cisse (41' og.), Collins (86')
Agard (70', 76')
Hesketh (40'), Cisse (45'), Aneke (91')
Nov 27, 2018 7.45pm
MK Dons
2-0
Morecambe
Gilbey (58', 84')

Oswell (59')