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FA Cup

MK Dons
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk

MK Dons
6 - 0
Taunton Town

Devoy (6'), Grigg (13'), Burns (48'), Eisa (74'), Grant (82', 84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between MK Dons and Taunton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One

Taunton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Taunton Town 4-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 68.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Taunton Town had a probability of 12.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Taunton Town win it was 0-1 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawTaunton Town
68.43% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)18.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)12.75% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.27% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.25% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)42.75% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.85% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)65.15% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.56% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)11.44% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.76% (-0.055 -0.05)36.24% (0.055 0.05)
Taunton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.64% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)44.36% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.58% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)80.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 68.42%
    Taunton Town 12.75%
    Draw 18.82%
MK DonsDrawTaunton Town
2-0 @ 11.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69%
3-0 @ 8.62%
3-1 @ 7.01% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 68.42%
1-1 @ 8.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.07% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 18.82%
0-1 @ 4.12% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.63%
0-2 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 12.75%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Taunton Town

MK Dons
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
Taunton Town
0.0%
11