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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 33.58% ( | 28.06% ( | 38.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.38% ( | 58.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.83% ( | 79.17% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.37% ( | 32.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.82% | 69.17% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.4% ( | 29.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.36% ( | 65.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 7.37% ( 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.57% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 2-2 @ 4.49% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 11.75% 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0-2 @ 7.16% ( 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.35% |