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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2022 at 7.55pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Portsmouth

Hereford
1 - 3
Portsmouth

Storey (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hackett-Fairchild (33'), Bishop (64'), Pigott (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Hereford United and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-3 Hereford
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League North

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 AFC Wimbledon (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 9.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.7%) and 0-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Hereford United win it was 1-0 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawPortsmouth
9.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)15.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)74.47% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Both teams to score 49.89% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.41% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)36.58% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.44% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)45.56% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)81.37% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.64%8.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.9% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.1%
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 9.78%
    Portsmouth 74.46%
    Draw 15.75%
Hereford UnitedDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 2.99%
2-1 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 1.18%
3-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 9.78%
1-1 @ 7.43%
0-0 @ 3.81%
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 15.75%
0-2 @ 11.72%
0-3 @ 9.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 9.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 9.22%
1-3 @ 7.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 6.02%
1-4 @ 4.73%
2-3 @ 3%
0-5 @ 2.99%
1-5 @ 2.35%
2-4 @ 1.86%
0-6 @ 1.24%
1-6 @ 0.97%
2-5 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 74.46%

How you voted: Hereford vs Portsmouth

Hereford United
10.0%
Draw
0.0%
Portsmouth
90.0%
10