Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Hereford United had a probability of 9.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.7%) and 0-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Hereford United win it was 1-0 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.