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League One

Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Lincoln City

Port Vale
1 - 0
Lincoln

Butterworth (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawLincoln City
52.95% (0.10599999999999 0.11)25.22% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)21.83% (-0.087 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.69% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)54.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)75.77% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (0.037999999999997 0.04)20.54% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.94% (0.061 0.06)53.06% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.02% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)39.97% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.37% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)76.62% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 52.94%
    Lincoln City 21.83%
    Draw 25.21%
Port ValeDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 12.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.43% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 52.94%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 21.83%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Lincoln

Port Vale
23.8%
Draw
14.3%
Lincoln City
61.9%
21
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Lincoln
1-1
Port Vale
McCartan (58')
Eardley (43')
Oyeleke (90')
Kay (17'), Joyce (36'), Clark (43'), Hannant (47')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Port Vale
2-6
Lincoln
Conlon (51'), Whitfield (90' pen.)
Legge (45'), Miller (56')
Anderson (3'), McCartan (38'), Legge (45' og.), Bostwick (48'), Wharton (78'), Wilson (84')
Wilson (60')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
Port Vale
0-4
Lincoln

Dodds (17'), Montano (35')
Shackell (5'), Green (48' pen.), O'Connor (80'), Akinde (82')
Rhead (58')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Port Vale
1-0
Lincoln
Kay (63')
Davis (14'), Kay (84')

Waterfall (20'), Eardley (85')
Nov 25, 2017 3pm
Lincoln
3-1
Port Vale
Green (11'), Bostwick (53'), Waterfall (70')
Green (73'), Palmer (90')
Pugh (45')
Gibbons (70'), Forrester (83'), Gunning (90'), Pugh (90')