League One Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Daniel Butterworth 68' goal

Port Vale vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Port Vale 2 - 3 Ipswich
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ellis Harrison

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Barnsley 0 - 1 Lincoln
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Ben House

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result

Port Vale 52.95% (+0.11)
Draw 25.22% (-0.03)
Lincoln City 21.83% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.69% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.6% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 54.39% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 24.23% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 75.77% (+0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 79.45% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.54% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 46.94% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 53.06% (-0.07)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 60.02% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 39.97% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 23.37% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 76.62% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Port Vale 52.94%
Draw 25.21%
Lincoln City 21.83%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 12.99% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.28% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.43% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.43% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.98% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.15% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.97% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 52.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.21% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.21%
Lincoln City
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 21.83%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sincil Bank Stadium (Lincoln, Lincolnshire)
  • Neal Eardley 43' yellowcard
  • Shay McCartan 58' goal
  • yellowcard Antony Kay 17'
  • yellowcard Luke Joyce 36'
  • yellowcard Mitch Clark 43'
  • yellowcard Luke Hannant 47'
  • goal Manny Oyeleke 90'
League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 13, 2018 3.00pm
2
6
HT : 0 3
FT Vale Park (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)
  • Leon Legge 45' yellowcard
  • Tom Conlon 51' goal
  • Ricky Miller 56' yellowcard
  • Ben Whitfield 90' goal
  • goal Harry Anderson 3'
  • goal Shay McCartan 38'
  • goal Leon Legge 45' (OG)
  • goal Michael Bostwick 48'
  • yellowcard James Wilson 60'
  • goal Scott Wharton 78'
  • goal James Wilson 84'
EFL Cup
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Louis Dodds 17' yellowcard
  • Cristian Montano 35' yellowcard
  • goal Jason Shackell 5'
  • goal Matt Green 48'
  • yellowcard Matt Rhead 58'
  • goal Michael O'Connor 80'
  • goal John Akinde 82'
League Two
Apr 14, 2018 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Davis 14' yellowcard
  • Antony Kay 63' goal
  • Antony Kay 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Waterfall 20'
  • yellowcard Neal Eardley 85'
League Two
Nov 25, 2017 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Matt Green 11' goal
  • Michael Bostwick 53' goal
  • Luke Waterfall 70' goal
  • Matt Green 73' yellowcard
  • Ollie Palmer 90' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Pugh 45'
  • yellowcard James Gibbons 70'
  • yellowcard Anton Forrester 83'
  • yellowcard Gavin Gunning 90'
  • yellowcard Danny Pugh 90'
League Two
Mar 29, 2011 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lee Collins 50' yellowcard
  • Marc Richards 59' goal
  • Doug Loft 70' goal
  • Anthony Griffith 87' yellowcard
  • goal Gavin McCallum 3'
  • yellowcard Danny Hone 72'