MX23RW : Tuesday, April 30 04:02:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Carlisle United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
Derby logo
Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Northampton Town
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Port Vale
Portsmouth
Reading logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Lincoln City

Port Vale
1 - 0
Lincoln

Butterworth (68')
Garrity (11'), Robinson (45+7'), Jones (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

House (2'), Roughan (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 0-2 Lincoln City

Port Vale have been scoring a lot of goals recently, but on Saturday they come up against a strong defensive unit which will create a genuine test. Both teams have been in better form as of late, but it is Lincoln City who come into this one in the midst of an undefeated streak, which could continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawLincoln City
52.95% (0.10599999999999 0.11) 25.22% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 21.83% (-0.087 -0.09)
Both teams to score 47.69% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)54.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)75.77% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.45% (0.037999999999997 0.04)20.54% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.94% (0.061 0.06)53.06% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.02% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)39.97% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.37% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)76.62% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 52.94%
    Lincoln City 21.83%
    Draw 25.21%
Port ValeDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 12.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.28% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.43% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 52.94%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 21.83%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Lincoln

Port Vale
23.8%
Draw
14.3%
Lincoln City
61.9%
21
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2019 3pm
Lincoln
1-1
Port Vale
McCartan (58')
Eardley (43')
Oyeleke (90')
Kay (17'), Joyce (36'), Clark (43'), Hannant (47')
Oct 13, 2018 3pm
Port Vale
2-6
Lincoln
Conlon (51'), Whitfield (90' pen.)
Legge (45'), Miller (56')
Anderson (3'), McCartan (38'), Legge (45' og.), Bostwick (48'), Wharton (78'), Wilson (84')
Wilson (60')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
Port Vale
0-4
Lincoln

Dodds (17'), Montano (35')
Shackell (5'), Green (48' pen.), O'Connor (80'), Akinde (82')
Rhead (58')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Port Vale
1-0
Lincoln
Kay (63')
Davis (14'), Kay (84')

Waterfall (20'), Eardley (85')
Nov 25, 2017 3pm
Lincoln
3-1
Port Vale
Green (11'), Bostwick (53'), Waterfall (70')
Green (73'), Palmer (90')
Pugh (45')
Gibbons (70'), Forrester (83'), Gunning (90'), Pugh (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!