Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
63.77% ( 0.31)	20.08% ( 0.17)	16.14% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 53.93% (

-1.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.89% (

-1.7)

41.1% (

1.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.5% (

-1.75)

63.5% (

1.75)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.77% (

-0.42)

12.23% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.07% (

-0.9)

37.92% (

0.89)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.45% (

-1.63)

38.54% (

1.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.7% (

-1.59)

75.29% (

1.59)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 63.76%

Newcastle United Under-21s 16.14%

Draw 20.08%

Lincoln City	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
2-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.59) 3-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.62% Total : 63.76%	1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.08%	1-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.08% Total : 16.14%