Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.