EFL Trophy
Oct 18, 2022 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • Daniel Mandroiu 8' goal
  • Freddie Draper 84' goal

Lincoln City vs Newcastle United Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 20, 2022 7.00pm
Lincoln 1 - 2 Doncaster

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 20, 2022 7.00pm
Barnsley 2 - 0 Newcastle U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 63.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.

Result

Lincoln City 63.77% (+0.32)
Draw 20.08% (+0.17)
Newcastle United Under-21s 16.14% (-0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.93% (-1.70)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.89% (-1.71)
Under 2.5 41.1% (+1.70)
Over 3.5 36.5% (-1.76)
Under 3.5 63.5% (+1.76)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 87.77% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 12.23% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 62.07% (-0.90)
Under 1.5 37.92% (+0.90)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 61.45% (-1.64)
Under 0.5 38.54% (+1.63)
Over 1.5 24.7% (-1.59)
Under 1.5 75.29% (+1.59)

Score analysis

Lincoln City 63.76%
Draw 20.08%
Newcastle United Under-21s 16.14%
Lincoln City
2-0 @ 10.4% (+0.46)
2-1 @ 9.92% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.91% (+0.60)
3-0 @ 7.29% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.11)
4-0 @ 3.83% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.21)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.14)
5-0 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 63.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.44% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.21)
0-0 @ 4.71% (+0.36)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.08%
Newcastle United Under-21s
1-2 @ 4.5% (-0.13)
0-1 @ 4.49% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 2.14% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 1.43% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 16.14%