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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 30.87% ( | 26.28% ( | 42.85% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.55% ( | 52.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.87% ( | 74.12% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.66% ( | 31.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.29% ( | 67.7% ( |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% ( | 24.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.35% ( | 58.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 3-0 @ 1.98% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.87% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0-2 @ 7.62% ( 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0-3 @ 3.6% ( 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.85% |