League One Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT Vale Park
  • Nathan Smith 47' goal
  • Gavin Massey 45'+6' goal
  • goal Freddie Ladapo 34'
  • goal Cameron Humphreys 38'
  • goal Freddie Ladapo 51'

Port Vale vs Ipswich Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
Cambridge 0 - 1 Port Vale
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ellis Harrison

Ipswich Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2022 8.00pm
Ipswich 1 - 0 Derby
Goals scored
101
Top scorer
Conor Chaplin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result

Port Vale 30.87% (+0.29)
Draw 26.28% (+0.10)
Ipswich Town 42.85% (-0.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.99% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.55% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 52.45% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 25.87% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 74.12% (+0.23)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 68.66% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 31.34% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 32.29% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 67.7% (-0.09)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.72% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 24.27% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 41.35% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 58.64% (+0.43)

Score analysis

Port Vale 30.87%
Draw 26.27%
Ipswich Town 42.85%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 8.83% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 7.25% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.12% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.8% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.98% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 30.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.49% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.61% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.27%
Ipswich Town
0-1 @ 10.77% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 7.62% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.04)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 42.85%