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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Ipswich Town |
30.87% ( 0.29) | 26.28% ( 0.09) | 42.85% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 51.99% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.55% ( -0.27) | 52.45% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.87% ( -0.23) | 74.12% ( 0.22) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.66% ( 0.07) | 31.34% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.29% ( 0.08) | 67.7% ( -0.08) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.72% ( -0.31) | 24.27% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.35% ( -0.43) | 58.64% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.87% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
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