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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 33.2% ( | 26.42% ( | 40.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.63% ( | 52.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.94% ( | 74.05% ( |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.27% ( | 29.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.21% ( | 65.79% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( | 25.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.63% ( | 60.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 4-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.2% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0-4 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.36% |