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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Lincoln
1 - 1
Plymouth

Sanders (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Randell (31')
Houghton (71'), Lonwijk (81'), Randell (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol City 1-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Grimsby Town 5-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Lincoln City 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

 Lincoln have been very tricky to beat this season, and are on a high after the midweek result. Plymouth are on a roll in the league and, if the defeat at Grimsby does not play on their minds too much, they should have enough to get by the Imps. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
33.2% (-0.26 -0.26) 26.42% (-0.096 -0.1) 40.37% (0.359 0.36)
Both teams to score 52.34% (0.249 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63% (0.348 0.35)52.37% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.94% (0.299 0.3)74.05% (-0.295 -0.3)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.72% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)65.79% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.351 0.35)25.52% (-0.349 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (0.478 0.48)60.37% (-0.473 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 33.2%
    Plymouth Argyle 40.36%
    Draw 26.42%
Lincoln CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 9.2% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-1 @ 7.62% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 33.2%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 10.35% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.055 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.91% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.22% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.035 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.36%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Plymouth

Lincoln City
26.1%
Draw
13.0%
Plymouth Argyle
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Lincoln
Jephcott (34')
Garrick (90+5')
Marquis (51'), Melbourne (90+2')
Bramall (62'), Bishop (82'), Cullen (88'), McGrandles (90+5')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Lincoln
2-2
Plymouth
Sorensen (66'), Scully (90' pen.)
Bishop (36'), Nlundulu (45+4'), Maguire (80'), Scully (90+2')
Hardie (25'), Galloway (74')
Scarr (90'), Edwards (90+2')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
4-3
Lincoln
Watts (3'), Mayor (13'), Grant (77'), Edwards (90+2')
Fornah (27'), Edwards (63')
McGrandles (22'), Grant (59' pen., 62')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Lincoln
Jephcott (6'), Reeves (55')
Canavan (55'), Opoku (85')

Melbourne (21'), Walsh (54'), Edun (67'), McGrandles (76'), (90+5')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Lincoln
2-0
Plymouth
Grant (50' pen.), Johnson (72')
Jones (11'), Walsh (21')

Nouble (19')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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