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Championship header 2

League One

Plymouth Argyle
League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Exeter City

Plymouth
4 - 2
Exeter

Whittaker (27'), Mumba (58'), Hardie (70', 84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Collins (25'), Nombe (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 0-0 Exeter
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawExeter City
54.17% (0.205 0.2)24.47% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)21.35% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.21% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)52.07% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)73.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (0.072000000000003 0.07)19.15% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.2% (0.11799999999999 0.12)50.8% (-0.119 -0.12)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.86% (-0.175 -0.17)39.13% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.15% (-0.165 -0.16)75.85% (0.16499999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 54.16%
    Exeter City 21.35%
    Draw 24.47%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 12.38% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.23% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.33% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.45% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 21.35%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Exeter

Plymouth Argyle
89.2%
Draw
10.0%
Exeter City
0.8%
120
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2020 7.45pm
Plymouth
P-P
Exeter
Oct 26, 2019 1pm
Exeter
4-0
Plymouth
Law (42' pen., 83'), Parkes (49'), Williams (67')
Bowman (39'), Parkes (77')

McFadzean (12'), Sarcevic (93')
Oct 3, 2017 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-2
Exeter
 Plymouth win 5-3 on penalties
Edwards (19'), Blissett (75')
Ness (63')
McAlinden (13'), Edwards (70')
Croll (83')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Plymouth
3-0
Exeter
Kennedy (14'), Taylor (45'), Jervis (93' pen.)
Carey (75'), Donaldson (81')

Woodman (60'), Brown (74'), Simpson (92'), Pym (93')
Sep 17, 2016 1pm
Exeter
0-2
Plymouth
Carey (6'), Paul Garita (26')
Bulvitis (45')