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Morgan Whittaker
27'
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Bali Mumba
58'
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Ryan Hardie
70'
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Ryan Hardie
84'
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Archie Collins
25'
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Sam Nombe
52'
Plymouth Argyle vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Exeter City Goals
Score analysis
2-0 @ 10.23% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 54.16%
0-0 @ 7.49% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 21.35%
