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EFL Cup

Bristol City
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Lincoln City

Bristol City
1 - 3
Lincoln

Conway (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Virtue (6'), House (15'), O'Connor (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Bristol City and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Championship

Lincoln City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Chippenham 1-0 Lincoln
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawLincoln City
38% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)24.87% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)37.13% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.23% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.95% (0.048999999999999 0.05)45.05% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.6% (0.045999999999999 0.05)67.4% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)23.46% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (0.049999999999997 0.05)23.92% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.073 0.07)58.13% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 38%
    Lincoln City 37.13%
    Draw 24.86%
Bristol CityDrawLincoln City
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.14% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 8.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.03% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 37.13%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Lincoln

Bristol City
77.4%
Draw
11.3%
Lincoln City
11.3%
62