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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Millwall logo

Bristol City
1 - 2
Millwall

Hutchinson (71' og.)
Klose (43'), Semenyo (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradshaw (44'), Flemming (76')
Cooper (53'), Wallace (57'), McNamara (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Preston
Wednesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Millwall

Bristol City's record suggests there should certainly be goals in Saturday's contest, and with home advantage and confidence from an Ashton Gate victory in midweek, we see them edging the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
41.63% (-0.139 -0.14) 27.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 31.21% (0.177 0.18)
Both teams to score 49.45% (0.186 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (0.206 0.21)55.76% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (0.167 0.17)76.89% (-0.17 -0.17)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (0.018999999999991 0.02)26.4% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43% (0.027999999999999 0.03)61.56% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19% (0.23400000000001 0.23)32.8% (-0.237 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.63% (0.26 0.26)69.36% (-0.26299999999999 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 41.63%
    Millwall 31.21%
    Draw 27.14%
Bristol CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.41% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 41.63%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.66% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.17% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.66% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 2% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 31.21%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Millwall

Bristol City
44.2%
Draw
23.3%
Millwall
32.6%
43
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2022 1pm
Bristol City
3-2
Millwall
Weimann (7', 73', 85')
Towler (28'), O'Dowda (48'), Semenyo (67'), Wells (90+4')
Bradshaw (23'), Afobe (29' pen.)
Cooper (20'), Afobe (84')
Sep 29, 2021 7.45pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Millwall
4-1
Bristol City
Wallace (5'), Malone (31'), Mitchell (52'), Bradshaw (58')
Mitchell (45'), McNamara (68')
Conway (16')
Baker (73')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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