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Championship | Gameweek 10
Sep 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
Bristol City

Norwich
3 - 2
Bristol City

Pukki (11', 23'), Sargent (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Conway (44'), Semenyo (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Bristol City

As the joint top goalscorers in the division, it would be naive to write off Bristol City ahead of arguably the most daunting trip in the division. Nevertheless, we cannot back against the Canaries, who are playing with confidence at each end of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 22.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBristol City
55.1% (0.61 0.61) 22.68% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 22.22% (-0.67 -0.67)
Both teams to score 56.06% (-1.095 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.44% (-1.037 -1.04)43.56% (1.041 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05% (-1.026 -1.03)65.95% (1.028 1.03)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)15.7% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.24% (-0.291 -0.29)44.76% (0.293 0.29)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (-1.172 -1.17)33.5% (1.176 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.86% (-1.305 -1.31)70.14% (1.308 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 55.1%
    Bristol City 22.22%
    Draw 22.67%
Norwich CityDrawBristol City
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.386 0.39)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.31 0.31)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.162 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 55.1%
1-1 @ 10.64% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.236 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 22.22%

How you voted: Norwich vs Bristol City

Norwich City
80.2%
Draw
10.5%
Bristol City
9.3%
86
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2021 6pm
Oct 31, 2020 12.30pm
Bristol City
1-3
Norwich
Hunt (15')
Pukki (6', 14'), Buendia (45+1')
Sorensen (60'), Gibson (66'), Krul (73'), Rupp (77')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Norwich
3-2
Bristol City
McLean (36', 66'), Godfrey (55')
Trybull (70')
Paterson (12'), O'Dowda (37')
Kalas (38'), Watkins (95'), Palmer (96')
Dec 15, 2018 5.30pm
Bristol City
2-2
Norwich
Diedhiou (45'), O'Dowda (53')
Watkins (83')
Stiepermann (39'), Aarons (78')
Tettey (41'), Buendia (71'), Godfrey (82')
Jan 13, 2018 3pm
Bristol City
0-1
Norwich

Baker (64')
Maddison (79')
Maddison (25'), Lewis (42'), Tettey (57'), Oliveira (83'), Pinto (97')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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