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Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Carrow Road
Millwall logo

Norwich
2 - 0
Millwall

Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Millwall

Tuesday's win could trigger a hot run of form for Norwich, and they have the quality to hurt any side in the league, but we anticipate a tough test against a resilient Millwall outfit. Rowett's men have shown their steel so far this season and could do enough to leave Carrow Road with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
45.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.4% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.84% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39% (0.023000000000003 0.02)54.61% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)75.95% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)24.15% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)58.47% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (0.021000000000001 0.02)34.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)70.99% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 45.04%
    Millwall 28.4%
    Draw 26.55%
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 45.04%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 28.4%

How you voted: Norwich vs Millwall

Norwich City
65.3%
Draw
22.9%
Millwall
11.8%
170
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2021 6pm
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Norwich
4-3
Millwall
Pukki (49', 90'), Leitner (79'), Rhodes (90')
Leitner (66'), Buendia (86')
Elliott (24'), Leonard (81'), Wallace (83')
Wallace (37'), Hutchinson (51'), Elliott (69'), McLaughlin (90'), Amos (90')
Jan 1, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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