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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Cardiff City | 2 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Millwall | 2 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Preston North End | 2 | 0 | 2 |
18 | Coventry City | 1 | 0 | 1 |
19 | Rotherham United | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.03%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Coventry City win it was 0-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Coventry City |
41.03% ( 0.02) | 29.99% ( 0) | 28.99% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 40.95% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.07% ( -0.01) | 65.93% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
15.46% ( -0.01) | 84.54% ( 0.01) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.3% ( 0) | 31.7% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.88% ( 0.01) | 68.12% ( -0) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.96% ( -0.03) | 40.04% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.31% ( -0.02) | 76.69% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 14.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.67% 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 41.03% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.98% | 0-1 @ 11.61% 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 1.39% Total : 28.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 69 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 43 | 17 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
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