EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Ricoh Arena

Coventry
1 - 4
Bristol City

Allen (62')
Walker (34')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Naismith (12'), Conway (18', 30'), Weimann (90+4')
Vyner (1'), Scott (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Coventry City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

Last Six:

Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Coventry
Sunday, July 31 at 12pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Preston North End	2	0	2
18	Coventry City	1	0	1
19	Rotherham United	1	0	1

Bristol City

Last Six:

Last Game: Bristol City 2-3 Sunderland
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Swansea City	2	-3	1
23	Bristol City	2	-2	0
24	Huddersfield Town	2	-2	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Bristol City
44.47% ( 1.09)	26.35% ( 0.36)	29.18% ( -1.45)

Both teams to score 50.92% (

-1.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.57% (

-2.08)

53.43% (

2.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.04% (

-1.79)

74.96% (

1.78)

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.09% (

-0.38)

23.91% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.87% (

-0.54)

58.12% (

0.54)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.92% (

-2.13)

33.07% (

2.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.33% (

-2.42)

69.67% (

2.42)

Score Analysis

Coventry City 44.47%

Bristol City 29.18%

Draw 26.35%

Coventry City	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.78) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.47%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.18%