Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.