We said: Bristol City 1-1 Sunderland
With a competitive under their belts, both teams will feel confident of retaining their concentration for longer than they did last week. Nevertheless, with that in mind, we can only see a low-scoring draw between two evenly-matched sides.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.