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Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK at Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City
2 - 3
Sunderland
Weimann (10'), Martin (51')
Williams (27'), Sykes (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Simms (4', 53'), Stewart (72')
Evans (1'), Cirkin (20')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Sunderland

With a competitive under their belts, both teams will feel confident of retaining their concentration for longer than they did last week. Nevertheless, with that in mind, we can only see a low-scoring draw between two evenly-matched sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSunderland
32.72% (-1.912 -1.91) 25.81% (-0.29 -0.29) 41.46% (2.199 2.2)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.488 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.08% (0.834 0.83)49.92% (-0.837 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.09% (0.74 0.74)71.91% (-0.74300000000001 -0.74)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.794 -0.79)28.82% (0.793 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32% (-1.001 -1)64.68% (0.998 1)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (1.517 1.52)23.85% (-1.52 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (2.128 2.13)58.04% (-2.13 -2.13)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 32.72%
    Sunderland 41.46%
    Draw 25.8%
Bristol CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 8.55% (-0.492 -0.49)
2-1 @ 7.63% (-0.265 -0.27)
2-0 @ 5.32% (-0.433 -0.43)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.183 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.233 -0.23)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 32.72%
1-1 @ 12.25% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.277 0.28)
0-2 @ 7.06% (0.373 0.37)
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.308 0.31)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.315 0.32)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.137 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.17 0.17)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.161 0.16)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 41.46%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Sunderlvs

Bristol City
35.5%
Draw
38.7%
Sunderland
25.8%
62
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Bristol City
3-3
Sunderland
Flint (5'), Diedhiou (31', 37')
Smith (45'), Diedhiou (57'), Bryan (81')
Brownhill (70' og.), McGeady (81'), Pack (90' og.)
Jones (72')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-2
Bristol City
Grabban (45')
Ndong (27'), Jones (64')
Reid (28'), Djuric (73')
Reid (83'), Pack (86')
rhs 2.0
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