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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Millwall logo

Swansea
2 - 2
Millwall

Manning (1'), Obafemi (12')
Manning (73'), Obafemi (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cabango (90+3' og.), Wood (90+5' og.)
Burey (39'), Mitchell (42'), Malone (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
38.3% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)27.37% (0.004999999999999 0)34.33% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.61% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.06% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)55.94% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)77.04% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)28.34% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)64.07% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.04% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 38.29%
    Millwall 34.33%
    Draw 27.36%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.99%
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.29%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 34.33%

How you voted: Swansea vs Millwall

Swansea City
65.8%
Draw
19.0%
Millwall
15.2%
79
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Swansea
0-0
Millwall

Bennett (37'), Downes (83')

Bradshaw (61'), Wallace (77'), Saville (89')
Apr 10, 2021 12.30pm
Millwall
0-3
Swansea
Ayew (45+1'), Lowe (76', 85')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Millwall
Bidwell (46'), Cabango (69')
Guehi (27')
Bradshaw (51')
Malone (90+4')
Jun 30, 2020 5pm