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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Millwall logo

Swansea
2 - 2
Millwall

Manning (1'), Obafemi (12')
Manning (73'), Obafemi (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cabango (90+3' og.), Wood (90+5' og.)
Burey (39'), Mitchell (42'), Malone (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Swansea City 3-1 Millwall

Swansea and Millwall head into the game off the back of impressive victories and will both be looking to pick up where they dropped off. However, it is worth noting that the Swans are unbeaten in nine of their last 10 games against the Lions. With that said, we are backing Swansea City to extend this fine record in front of their home fans and come away with a decisive victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
38.3% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 27.37% (0.004999999999999 0) 34.33% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.61% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.06% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)55.94% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.96% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)77.04% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)28.34% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.93% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)64.07% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.23% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.96% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.04% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 38.29%
    Millwall 34.33%
    Draw 27.36%
Swansea CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 10.99%
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.29%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 8.72% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.06% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 34.33%

How you voted: Swansea vs Millwall

Swansea City
65.8%
Draw
19.0%
Millwall
15.2%
79
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Swansea
0-0
Millwall

Bennett (37'), Downes (83')

Bradshaw (61'), Wallace (77'), Saville (89')
Apr 10, 2021 12.30pm
Millwall
0-3
Swansea
Ayew (45+1'), Lowe (76', 85')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Millwall
Bidwell (46'), Cabango (69')
Guehi (27')
Bradshaw (51')
Malone (90+4')
Jun 30, 2020 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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