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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Luton Town

Bristol City
2 - 0
Luton

Wells (5'), Conway (27')
Wells (61'), Weimann (67')
Sykes (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Freeman (67'), Bradley (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Luton Town

With both teams low on confidence heading into this one, we expect a nervy and tense affair with the teams cancelling each other out and settling for a point apiece at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawLuton Town
29.01% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 26.75% (0.029 0.03) 44.24% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49.62% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.93% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)55.07% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.67% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)76.33% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (0.0049999999999955 0)34.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.75% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)24.75% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.69% (-0.104 -0.1)59.31% (0.109 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 29.01%
    Luton Town 44.24%
    Draw 26.74%
Bristol CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.08% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.89% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.76% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29.01%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.43% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.22% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.24%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Luton

Bristol City
42.7%
Draw
33.3%
Luton Town
24.0%
96
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Luton
2-1
Bristol City
Lockyer (42'), Adebayo (68')
Berry (24'), Kioso (90+6')
Weimann (56')
Semenyo (62'), Pring (67')
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
1-1
Luton
Baker (57')
Pring (37')
Hylton (90+1')
Lansbury (84'), Bree (88')
Apr 25, 2021 1pm
Bristol City
2-3
Luton
Wells (31'), Nagy (38')
Collins (59'), Adebayo (68'), Cornick (74')
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Bristol City
3-0
Luton
Watkins (4'), Diedhiou (44' pen.), Weimann (66')
Williams (49')

Berry (32'), Bradley (58'), Collins (63'), Pearson (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
2Leicester CityLeicester422841079384188
3Leeds UnitedLeeds43269876344287
4Southampton42259884543084
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4320121166422472
6Norwich CityNorwich432181476601671
7Hull City421811136254865
8Coventry CityCoventry4217121366521463
9Middlesbrough43189166156563
10Preston North EndPreston43189165660-463
11Cardiff CityCardiff43185204860-1259
12Bristol City431610175046458
13Sunderland43168195250256
14Swansea CitySwansea431411185362-953
15Watford431216155958152
16Millwall431311194255-1350
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn431310205771-1449
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth431212195866-848
19Queens Park RangersQPR431211204057-1747
20Stoke CityStoke431211204160-1947
21Birmingham CityBirmingham43129224864-1645
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield43917174770-2344
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds43128233667-3144
RRotherham UnitedRotherham43411283285-5323


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