Championship

Championship | Gameweek 4

Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
2 - 0
Luton

Wells (5'), Conway (27')
Wells (61'), Weimann (67')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Freeman (67'), Bradley (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

Last Six:

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Coventry City	2	-1	1
23	Bristol City	3	-2	1
24	Norwich City	3	-2	1

Luton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Luton 0-1 Preston
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
20	West Bromwich Albion	3	-1	2
21	Luton Town	3	-1	2
22	Coventry City	2	-1	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Luton Town
29.01% ( 0.06)	26.75% ( 0.03)	44.24% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 49.62% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.93% (

-0.08)

55.07% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.67% (

-0.06)

76.33% (

0.07)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.93% (

34.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.25% (

70.75% (

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.25% (

-0.07)

24.75% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.69% (

-0.1)

59.31% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 29.01%

Luton Town 44.24%

Draw 26.74%

Bristol City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.01%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.24%