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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Preston North End |
| 43.26% ( | 28% ( | 28.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.29% ( | 59.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.98% ( | 80.02% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( | 27.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% ( | 62.84% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.23% ( | 36.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.45% ( | 73.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 13.04% ( 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 4-0 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 1.84% Total : 43.26% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0-0 @ 10.06% ( 2-2 @ 4.23% ( Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 2-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 1.83% Total : 28.74% |