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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Coventry City

Norwich
3 - 0
Coventry

Pukki (14'), Sargent (45+1'), Dowell (81')
Byram (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Norwich City 2-0 Coventry City

Given the difference in quality and form between the two sides, it is difficult to envisage the Sky Blues leaving Carrow Road with a positive result on Saturday. The Canaries have quickly built momentum and found ways to win in their last two tight affairs, but we would not be surprised to see a slightly more comfortable victory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawCoventry City
40.7% (0.837 0.84) 24.9% (-0.762 -0.76) 34.4% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.77% (2.624 2.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (3.4 3.4)45.5% (-3.397 -3.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (3.162 3.16)67.83% (-3.16 -3.16)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (1.921 1.92)22.29% (-1.92 -1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (2.804 2.8)55.75% (-2.8 -2.8)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (1.578 1.58)25.66% (-1.576 -1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (2.098 2.1)60.56% (-2.096 -2.1)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 40.7%
    Coventry City 34.4%
    Draw 24.89%
Norwich CityDrawCoventry City
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.138 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.767 -0.77)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.306 0.31)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.33 0.33)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.199 0.2)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.351 0.35)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.874 -0.87)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.202 0.2)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.89%
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.796 -0.8)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.172 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.27 0.27)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.109 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.4%

How you voted: Norwich vs Coventry

Norwich City
86.3%
Draw
6.8%
Coventry City
6.8%
73
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Coventry
0-2
Norwich

Da Costa (4')
Pukki (28'), Buendia (45+1')
Hanley (17'), Gibson (70'), Cantwell (84')
Jan 9, 2021 12pm
Norwich
2-0
Coventry
McLean (6'), Hugill (7')
McLean (53'), Cantwell (66'), Hanley (87')

Hamer (63')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Norwich
1-1
Coventry
Vrancic (27' pen.)
Sorensen (55'), McAlear (90+2'), Aarons (90+2')
Biamou (89')
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Norwich
6-1
Coventry
Lafferty (25'), Canos (36', 80'), Martin (58'), Murphy (63'), Godfrey (86')
Thompson (42')
Lameiras (56' pen.)
Jul 26, 2016 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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