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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Burnley | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Norwich City | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Watford | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Birmingham City | 7 | -4 | 5 |
| 23 | Huddersfield Town | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 24 | Coventry City | 4 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 40.7% ( | 24.9% ( | 34.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.5% ( | 45.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.17% ( | 67.83% ( |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% ( | 22.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.25% ( | 55.75% ( |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( | 25.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.44% ( | 60.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Coventry City |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 4-2 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.7% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.4% |