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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Cardiff City logo

Millwall
2 - 0
Cardiff

Cresswell (63'), Afobe (90')
Styles (76'), Wallace (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kipre (46'), Romeo (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Millwall
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Cardiff City

With both sides struggling for form, we struggle to see one outclassing the other on Saturday and instead opt for a low-scoring draw at The Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawCardiff City
56.13% (0.155 0.16) 25.64% (-0.165 -0.16) 18.23% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 41.6% (0.411 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.28% (0.54000000000001 0.54)59.72% (-0.542 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.97% (0.413 0.41)80.02% (-0.413 -0.41)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (0.28700000000001 0.29)21.39% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (0.441 0.44)54.38% (-0.441 -0.44)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.93% (0.33 0.33)47.07% (-0.33 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.46% (0.25 0.25)82.54% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 56.12%
    Cardiff City 18.23%
    Draw 25.64%
MillwallDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 15.52% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 11.97% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.07 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 56.12%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.07% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 3.4% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 25.64%
0-1 @ 7.59% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.41% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 18.23%

How you voted: Millwall vs Cardiff

Millwall
60.7%
Draw
21.4%
Cardiff City
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
3-1
Millwall
Flint (66', 70'), Morrison (83')
Flint (51'), Nelson (86')
Afobe (76')
Cooper (65')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
1-1
Millwall
Moore (71')
Bennett (69'), Vaulks (76'), Morrison (84')
Flint (9' og.)
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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