Championship

Championship | Gameweek 12

Nov 21, 2020 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 1
Cardiff

Smith (35')
Woods (72'), Williams (88'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Moore (80')

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Cardiff City manager Neil Harris pictured in October 2020

Neil Harris questions Cardiff's winning mentality following Millwall draw

The Bluebirds fought back to earn a 1-1 draw at Millwall.

Nov 21, 18:59

The Match

Match Report

Kieffer Moore grabbed a late equaliser for the Bluebirds.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 35.97%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Cardiff City
35.75%	28.28%	35.97%

Both teams to score 46.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.72%

59.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.32%

79.68%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46%

31.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.07%

67.93%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.6%

31.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.23%

67.77%

Score Analysis

Millwall 35.75%

Cardiff City 35.97%

Draw 28.27%

Millwall	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 6.59% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.75%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.9% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.27%	0-1 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 6.64% 1-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.97%