Championship

Championship | Gameweek 3

Aug 13, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
1 - 0
Birmingham

Philogene-Bidace (17')
Ojo (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hogan (51'), James (70'), Trusty (90'), Colin (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

Last Six:

Last Game: Cardiff 0-3 Portsmouth
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Queens Park Rangers	2	0	3
9	Cardiff City	2	0	3
10	Millwall	2	0	3

Birmingham City

Last Six:

Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Birmingham (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Sunderland	2	1	4
4	Birmingham City	2	1	4
5	Hull City	2	1	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cardiff City.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Birmingham City
41.16% ( -0.04)	27.74% ( 0.03)	31.1% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.68% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42% (

-0.11)

58% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.31% (

-0.09)

78.69% (

0.09)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.3% (

-0.07)

27.7% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.74% (

-0.1)

63.26% (

0.1)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.95% (

-0.05)

34.05% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.26% (

-0.05)

70.74% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 41.15%

Birmingham City 31.09%

Draw 27.74%

Cardiff City	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.15%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.74%	0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.09%