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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.06%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 44.06% | 28.67% | 27.27% |
| Both teams to score 43.34% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.46% | 62.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.87% | 82.13% |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% | 28.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.98% | 64.02% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.45% | 39.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.76% | 76.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 14.12% 2-0 @ 8.92% 2-1 @ 8.27% 3-0 @ 3.75% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.61% Total : 44.05% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.67% | 0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 6.08% 0-2 @ 4.82% 1-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.49% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.44% Total : 27.26% |