Championship Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Vitinho 62' goal
  • Jay Rodriguez 72' goal

Burnley vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
Wigan 1 - 5 Burnley
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Nathan Tella

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
Millwall 0 - 1 Reading
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Tom Bradshaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 17.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result

Burnley 58.61% (-0.01)
Draw 23.46% (+0.01)
Millwall 17.93% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.87% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.61% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 52.39% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 25.92% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 74.07% (+0.01)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 82.38% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.61% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 51.8% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 48.2% (+0.01)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 56.9% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 43.1% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 20.62%
Under 1.5 79.37% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Burnley 58.6%
Draw 23.46%
Millwall 17.93%
Burnley
1-0 @ 13.18%
2-0 @ 11.44%
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.63% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 58.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 7.59% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.46%
Millwall
0-1 @ 6.39% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.67%
0-2 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 17.93%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Sep 23, 2020 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Den
  • goal Josh Brownhill 45'
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 53'
  • yellowcard Bobby Thomas 56'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 78'
  • goal Matej Vydra 90'+3'
Championship
Feb 8, 2014 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Danny Ings 29' goal
  • Danny Ings 39' yellowcard
  • Dean Marney 47' goal
  • Danny Ings 62' goal
  • yellowcard Ed Upson 24'
  • goal Martyn Woolford 27'
  • yellowcard Paul Robinson 89'
Championship
Nov 2, 2013 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Scott McDonald 23' goal
  • Danny Shittu 38' goal
  • Nicky Bailey 66' yellowcard
  • Scott McDonald 70' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Vokes 39'
  • goal Shane Lowry 55' (OG)
  • yellowcard David Edgar 62'
  • yellowcard Sam Vokes 66'
  • yellowcard Brian Stock 89'
Championship
Jan 19, 2013 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Sam Vokes 19'
  • goal Danny Ings 59'
  • yellowcard Sam Vokes 77'
  • yellowcard Danny Ings 80'
Championship
Sep 29, 2012 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Ben Mee 19' goal
  • Dean Marney 36' yellowcard
  • Charlie Austin 43' goal
  • Ben Mee 56' yellowcard
  • Ross Wallace 70' yellowcard
  • Sam Vokes 82' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Trotter 3'
  • yellowcard Liam Trotter 32'
  • yellowcard Alan Dunne 58'
  • yellowcard James Henry 73'
  • yellowcard Shane Lowry 80'
  • goal Darius Henderson 90'
Championship
Feb 25, 2012 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jay Rodriguez 90' goal
  • goal Josh Wright 30'
  • goal Harry Kane 70'