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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Rotherham United | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Burnley | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Watford | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | West Bromwich Albion | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 16 | Millwall | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 6 | -2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 17.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Millwall |
| 58.61% ( | 23.46% ( | 17.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.61% ( | 52.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.92% ( | 74.07% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% ( | 17.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.8% ( | 48.2% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.9% ( | 43.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.62% | 79.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 13.18% 2-0 @ 11.44% 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 3-1 @ 5.58% ( 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 4-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.02% 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.48% Total : 58.6% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 2-2 @ 4.05% Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.69% ( 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.74% Total : 17.93% |