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Championship | Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turf Moor
Millwall logo

Burnley
2 - 0
Millwall

Vitinho (62'), Rodriguez (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cresswell (18'), Hutchinson (35'), Voglsammer (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burnley 2-0 Millwall

Milwall have looked timid and afraid when playing on the road, failing to score in seven league fixtures away from home last season, and without a goal in three matches this month in all competitions as the visitors. The Clarets have had plenty of success versus Millwall over the past decade and have started burying more and more of their chances with eight goals in their past two domestic encounters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 17.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Burnley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
BurnleyDrawMillwall
58.61% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 23.46% (0.0030000000000001 0) 17.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 46.87% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.61% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)52.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)74.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)17.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.2% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.9% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)43.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.62%79.37% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 58.6%
    Millwall 17.93%
    Draw 23.46%
BurnleyDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 13.18%
2-0 @ 11.44%
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-2 @ 1.02%
5-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 58.6%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.46%
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 4.67%
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 17.93%

How you voted: Burnley vs Millwall

Burnley
78.7%
Draw
11.2%
Millwall
10.1%
89
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2020 7pm
Millwall
0-2
Burnley
Brownhill (45'), Vydra (90+3')
Brownhill (53'), Thomas (56'), Westwood (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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