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Championship | Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Luton Town

Cardiff
1 - 2
Luton

Sawyers (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Freeman (47'), Osho (62')
Freeman (21'), Adebayo (45+1'), Osho (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Luton Town

Although both sides have struggled to consistently find the net this season, with four points from their last two games, we think that Luton will have the confidence to claim a narrow victory on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
32.13% (-1.292 -1.29) 28.08% (-0.337 -0.34) 39.79% (1.631 1.63)
Both teams to score 47.04% (0.688 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.05% (0.98399999999999 0.98)58.95% (-0.984 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.57% (0.757 0.76)79.43% (-0.75599999999999 -0.76)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (-0.38499999999999 -0.38)33.81% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (-0.422 -0.42)70.48% (0.422 0.42)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (1.445 1.44)28.93% (-1.444 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.19% (1.756 1.76)64.81% (-1.755 -1.76)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 32.12%
    Luton Town 39.79%
    Draw 28.08%
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.132 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.345 -0.35)
3-1 @ 2.58% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.6% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.12%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.368 -0.37)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.095 0.09)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 12.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.16% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 7.53% (0.316 0.32)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.235 0.24)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.247 0.25)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.11 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.111 0.11)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 39.79%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Luton

Cardiff City
39.0%
Draw
18.3%
Luton Town
42.7%
82
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
4-0
Luton
Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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