Championship

Championship | Gameweek 7

Aug 30, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
1 - 2
Luton

Sawyers (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Freeman (47'), Osho (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

Last Six:

Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 Preston
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Blackpool	6	-1	8
14	Cardiff City	6	-1	8
15	West Bromwich Albion	6	2	7

Luton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Luton 1-1 Sheff Utd
Friday, August 26 at 8pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Middlesbrough	6	-1	6
19	Luton Town	6	-1	6
20	Wigan Athletic	5	-3	6

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Luton Town
32.13% ( -1.29)	28.08% ( -0.34)	39.79% ( 1.63)

Both teams to score 47.04% (

0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.05% (

0.98)

58.95% (

-0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.57% (

0.76)

79.43% (

-0.76)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19% (

-0.38)

33.81% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.52% (

-0.42)

70.48% (

0.42)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.07% (

1.44)

28.93% (

-1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.19% (

1.76)

64.81% (

-1.76)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 32.12%

Luton Town 39.79%

Draw 28.08%

Cardiff City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.12%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.08%	0-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.65% Total : 39.79%