Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
0 - 2
Luton

Obafemi (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Campbell (14'), Morris (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

Last Six:

Last Game: Swansea 2-2 Millwall
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Burnley	4	0	5
15	Swansea City	4	-2	5
16	Bristol City	4	0	4

Luton Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Luton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	West Bromwich Albion	4	-1	3
23	Luton Town	4	-3	2
24	Coventry City	2	-1	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Luton Town
37.9% ( 4.66)	27.18% ( -0.36)	34.91% ( -4.3)

Both teams to score 50.26% (

1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.84% (

1.62)

55.15% (

-1.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.6% (

1.32)

76.4% (

-1.32)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.81% (

3.73)

28.19% (

-3.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.11% (

4.48)

63.88% (

-4.48)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.99% (

-1.79)

30.01% (

1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.87% (

-2.21)

66.13% (

2.21)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 37.9%

Luton Town 34.91%

Draw 27.18%

Swansea City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.73) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.91) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.62) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.63) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.28) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.27) Other @ 1.87% Total : 37.9%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( -1.21) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.47) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( -1.08) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.58) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.36% Total : 34.91%