Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 44.65%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.