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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Preston North End logo

Bristol City
2 - 1
Preston

Atkinson (54', 90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hughes (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 3-0 Bristol City
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-3 Preston
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawPreston North End
39.41% (0.12799999999999 0.13)27.79% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)32.81% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 48.06% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.24% (0.036000000000001 0.04)57.76% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.5% (0.028000000000002 0.03)78.5% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (0.090000000000003 0.09)28.58% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (0.113 0.11)64.37% (-0.114 -0.11)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)32.72% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.73% (-0.067 -0.07)69.27% (0.065000000000012 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 39.41%
    Preston North End 32.8%
    Draw 27.78%
Bristol CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 39.41%
1-1 @ 13.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.78%
0-1 @ 10.44% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.8%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Preston

Bristol City
31.0%
Draw
23.8%
Preston North End
45.2%
84
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 18, 2020 8pm
Jul 22, 2020 7.30pm