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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Preston North End |
39.41% ( 0.13) | 27.79% ( -0.02) | 32.81% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.24% ( 0.04) | 57.76% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.5% ( 0.03) | 78.5% ( -0.03) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.43% ( 0.09) | 28.58% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.63% ( 0.11) | 64.37% ( -0.11) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.28% ( -0.06) | 32.72% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.73% ( -0.07) | 69.27% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol City | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 39.41% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 21 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
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