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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Preston North End |
| 39.41% ( | 27.79% ( | 32.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.24% ( | 57.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.5% ( | 78.5% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% ( | 28.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.63% ( | 64.37% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% ( | 32.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.73% ( | 69.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 11.71% ( 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 4-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.74% Total : 39.41% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0-0 @ 9.35% ( 2-2 @ 4.58% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.8% |