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Championship | Gameweek 10
Sep 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
Deepdale
Burnley logo

Preston
1 - 1
Burnley

Storey (15')
McCann (4'), Parrott (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Burnley
Friday, September 2 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 0-1 Burnley

We can envisage another low-scoring match involving Preston, with the visitors likely to edge this Lancashire derby. Kompany has made an impressive impact in a short amount of time at Burnley, and he will hope to record a clean sheet on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawBurnley
38.83% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 27.62% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 33.55% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.71% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.99% (0.033999999999999 0.03)57.01% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.1% (0.026999999999997 0.03)77.91% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (0.034000000000006 0.03)28.55% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (0.041000000000004 0.04)64.34% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (0.004999999999999 0)68.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 38.83%
    Burnley 33.55%
    Draw 27.62%
Preston North EndDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 11.39%
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.98% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.83%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 10.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 33.55%

How you voted: Preston vs Burnley

Preston North End
17.2%
Draw
18.8%
Burnley
64.1%
64
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2020 2pm
Jul 23, 2018 7.45pm
Preston
2-3
Burnley
Harrop (22'), Robinson (74')
Lennon (26'), Agyei (72'), McNeil (84')
Jul 25, 2017 7.45pm
Apr 22, 2016 7.45pm
Preston
0-1
Burnley

Garner (45'), Wright (60'), Robinson (96')
Barton (6')
Marney (43'), Lowton (45'), Gray (73'), Barton (80'), Mee (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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