Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
2 - 1
Bristol City

Benson (4'), Rodriguez (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wells (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Burnley and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

Last Six:

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Burnley
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Reading	9	-5	15
5	Burnley	9	6	14
6	Sunderland	9	5	14

Bristol City

Last Six:

Last Game: Norwich 3-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Sunderland	9	5	14
7	Bristol City	9	4	14
8	Queens Park Rangers	9	3	14

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Bristol City
57.35% ( -0.6)	22.62% ( 0.8)	20.03% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 52.98% (

-3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.93% (

-3.83)

46.07% (

3.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.63% (

-3.73)

68.37% (

3.73)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.19% (

-1.49)

15.81% (

1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.02% (

-2.83)

44.97% (

2.83)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.93% (

-2.4)

37.07% (

2.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.15% (

-2.47)

73.85% (

2.47)

Score Analysis

Burnley 57.35%

Bristol City 20.03%

Draw 22.61%

Burnley	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 10.81% ( 1.17) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.39) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.27) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.34% Total : 57.35%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.9) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.35) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.61%	0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.03%