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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Reading | 9 | -5 | 15 |
5 | Burnley | 9 | 6 | 14 |
6 | Sunderland | 9 | 5 | 14 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Sunderland | 9 | 5 | 14 |
7 | Bristol City | 9 | 4 | 14 |
8 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Bristol City |
57.35% ( -0.6) | 22.62% ( 0.8) | 20.03% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 52.98% ( -3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.93% ( -3.83) | 46.07% ( 3.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.63% ( -3.73) | 68.37% ( 3.73) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.19% ( -1.49) | 15.81% ( 1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.02% ( -2.83) | 44.97% ( 2.83) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.93% ( -2.4) | 37.07% ( 2.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.15% ( -2.47) | 73.85% ( 2.47) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 10.81% ( 1.17) 2-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.39) 4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.27) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.34% Total : 57.35% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.9) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.35) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.67% Total : 20.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 42 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 14 | 22 | 41 |
3 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
4 | Sunderland | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 37 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 34 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Swansea CitySwansea | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Bristol City | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 26 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 25 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 21 |
17 | Derby CountyDerby | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 21 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 21 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 18 |
21 | Portsmouth | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 16 |
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