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Championship | Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Blackpool

Millwall
2 - 1
Blackpool

Grimshaw (14' og.), Afobe (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Patino (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 52.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Blackpool had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Blackpool win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBlackpool
52.42% (0.33 0.33)26.69% (0.044 0.04)20.88% (-0.379 -0.38)
Both teams to score 42.63% (-0.565 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.57% (-0.491 -0.49)60.42% (0.486 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.44% (-0.375 -0.38)80.56% (0.37 0.37)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.73% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)23.27% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.8% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)57.2% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.56% (-0.691 -0.69)44.44% (0.687 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.51% (-0.569 -0.57)80.48% (0.56399999999999 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 52.41%
    Blackpool 20.88%
    Draw 26.69%
MillwallDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 15.07% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 10.99% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.34% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 52.41%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.34% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 26.69%
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.4% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 20.88%

How you voted: Millwall vs Blackpool

Millwall
56.5%
Draw
26.1%
Blackpool
17.4%
23
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Millwall
2-1
Blackpool
Wallace (63'), Cooper (90')
Mitchell (50'), Saville (62'), Malone (69'), Kieftenbeld (74')
Lavery (56')
Dougall (28'), Yates (62'), Anderson (74')
Connolly (14')
Mar 5, 2016 3pm
Millwall
3-0
Blackpool
Gregory (8'), Wallace (24'), Morison (84' pen.)
Thompson (40'), Beevers (79'), Upson (81')

Ikpeazu (36'), Herron (45'), White (56')
White (76')
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
Blackpool
1-1
Millwall
Redshaw (82' pen.)
Beevers (35')
Martin (39'), Williams (42'), Ferguson (61'), Thompson (79'), Archer (82')
Edwards (81')
rhs 2.0


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