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Championship | Gameweek 20
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Bristol City

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Bristol City

Akpom (47')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Weimann (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 64.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 14.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.92%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
64.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02)21.7% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)14.08% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.95% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1% (0.049999999999997 0.05)51.9% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (0.044 0.04)73.65% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.48% (0.024000000000001 0.02)15.52% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.57% (0.045999999999999 0.05)44.43% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.02% (0.020000000000003 0.02)47.97% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.79% (0.014000000000003 0.01)83.21% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 64.22%
    Bristol City 14.08%
    Draw 21.69%
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.92%
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 8.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 64.22%
1-1 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 21.69%
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.74%
0-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 14.08%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Bristol City

Middlesbrough
76.5%
Draw
11.8%
Bristol City
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Middlesbrough
1-3
Bristol City
Fry (80')
Bola (63')
Diedhiou (21', 33'), Wells (37')
Palmer (61'), Hunt (90+1')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm