Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 24.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.