Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Chuba Akpom 23' goal

Middlesbrough vs Birmingham City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
Coventry 1 - 0 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Chuba Akpom

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
Sheff Utd 1 - 1 Birmingham
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Scott Hogan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 15.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result

Middlesbrough 61.36% (+0.12)
Draw 23.19% (-0.09)
Birmingham City 15.45% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.89% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.89% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 55.11% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 23.64% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 76.36% (-0.19)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 82.39% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 17.61% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 51.8% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 48.2% (-0.22)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 52.06% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 47.94% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 16.81% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 83.19% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 61.36%
Draw 23.19%
Birmingham City 15.45%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 14.66% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 12.73% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.37% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.42% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 3.2% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.35% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.11% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 61.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 3.44% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 23.19%
Birmingham City
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 3.96% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 15.45%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kristian Pedersen 40' yellowcard
  • Onel Hernandez 80' yellowcard
  • Kristian Pedersen 86' redcard
  • goal Aaron Connolly 23'
  • goal Folarin Balogun 62'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 90'
Championship Gameweek 15
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Dion Sanderson 19'
  • yellowcard Gary Gardner 45'+1'
  • goal Marc Roberts 53'
  • goal Scott Hogan 56'
  • yellowcard Riley McGree 90'+3'
Championship Gameweek 24
Jan 16, 2021 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Anfernee Dijksteel 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Toral 15'
  • goal Scott Hogan 26'
  • yellowcard Ivan Sunjic 71'
Championship Gameweek 20
Dec 19, 2020 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Maxime Colin 15' goal
  • yellowcard 13'
  • goal Britt Assombalonga 27'
  • goal George Saville 31'
  • goal Neil Etheridge 56' (OG)
  • goal Lewis Wing 82'
Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 21, 2020 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside
  • Ashley Fletcher 81' goal
  • goal Lukas Jutkiewicz 27'
  • yellowcard Gary Gardner 35'
Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 4, 2019 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Fran Villalba 33' goal
  • Ivan Sunjic 86' yellowcard
  • Odin Bailey 89' goal
  • Odin Bailey 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paddy McNair 55'
  • yellowcard Anfernee Dijksteel 64'
  • yellowcard Ryan Shotton 72'
  • goal Daniel Ayala 87'