Championship | Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough1 - 0Birmingham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Birmingham City
Middlesbrough have not started the season how they would have liked, but to their credit they have a decent home record and have notched decent home wins against Sunderland and Swansea. However, despite the possibility of a new manager bounce, after recent form we do not think they will have enough to win the game, particularly with Birmingham being on a decent run. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 15.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Birmingham City |
61.36% ( 0.12) | 23.19% ( -0.08) | 15.45% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.89% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
