Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.