Championship

Championship | Gameweek 6

Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Swansea

McGree (14'), Crooks (30')
Mowatt (27'), Crooks (45'), Lenihan (78'), Roberts (84'), Jones (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Piroe (79' pen.)
Cabango (74'), Wood (80'), Cabango (87'), Cooper (90+2')
Cabango (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

Last Six:

Last Game: Reading 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Huddersfield Town	4	-1	3
23	Middlesbrough	5	-2	3
24	Coventry City	2	-1	1

Swansea City

Last Six:

Last Game: Swansea 0-2 Luton
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
19	Birmingham City	5	-1	5
20	Swansea City	5	-4	5
21	Stoke City	5	-3	4

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 22.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Swansea City
52.35% ( 0.13)	25.41% ( -0.04)	22.23% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 47.64% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.28% (

0.08)

54.72% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.96% (

0.06)

76.04% (

-0.06)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.08% (

0.09)

20.92% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.35% (

0.13)

53.65% (

-0.13)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.24% (

-0.04)

39.76% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.57% (

-0.04)

76.43% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 52.34%

Swansea City 22.23%

Draw 25.41%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 13.01% 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 52.34%	1-1 @ 12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 22.23%