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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Stoke
2 - 2
Middlesbrough

Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
40.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)27.7%32.24%
Both teams to score 48.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.68% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)78.32% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.76%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)33% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42%69.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 40.06%
    Middlesbrough 32.23%
    Draw 27.69%
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 40.06%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.7%
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 32.23%

How you voted: Stoke vs Middlesbrough

Stoke City
33.6%
Draw
25.6%
Middlesbrough
40.8%
125
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Stoke
1-0
Middlesbrough
Collins (19')
Campbell (69'), Brown (79')

Fry (26'), Saville (70'), Bola (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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