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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Stoke
2 - 2
Middlesbrough

Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Middlesbrough

At some point, the likelihood is that forward lines with plenty of quality will eventually find some form, and that could be the case on Wednesday. However, we feel that there is a greater vulnerability about Stoke, leading us to predict a narrow victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
40.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 27.7%32.24%
Both teams to score 48.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.68% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)78.32% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.76%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)33% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42%69.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 40.06%
    Middlesbrough 32.23%
    Draw 27.69%
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 40.06%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.7%
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 32.23%

How you voted: Stoke vs Middlesbrough

Stoke City
33.6%
Draw
25.6%
Middlesbrough
40.8%
125
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Stoke
1-0
Middlesbrough
Collins (19')
Campbell (69'), Brown (79')

Fry (26'), Saville (70'), Bola (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Bristol City216962626027
11Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
18Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
19Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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