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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Huddersfield Town | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 19 | Stoke City | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 20 | Reading | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Reading | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 21 | Middlesbrough | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 22 | West Bromwich Albion | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 40.07% ( | 27.7% | 32.24% |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.46% ( | 57.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.68% ( | 78.32% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.91% ( | 28.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.24% ( | 63.76% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( | 33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.42% | 69.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 7.47% 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.11% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 1.81% Total : 40.06% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.27% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 5.7% 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.23% |