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Championship | Gameweek 11
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Coventry City

Birmingham
0 - 0
Coventry

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawCoventry City
26% (0.112 0.11)25.52% (-0.36 -0.36)48.48% (0.245 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.17% (1.174 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.98% (1.485 1.49)52.02% (-1.489 -1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.25% (1.27 1.27)73.75% (-1.274 -1.27)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16% (0.899 0.9)34.83% (-0.903 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.43% (0.936 0.94)71.57% (-0.941 -0.94)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.53% (0.72499999999999 0.72)21.47% (-0.729 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.5% (1.105 1.11)54.5% (-1.109 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 26%
    Coventry City 48.47%
    Draw 25.51%
Birmingham CityDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.275 -0.28)
2-1 @ 6.4% (0.076 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 1.46% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 26%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.453 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 11.5% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-2 @ 9.34% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.85% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.79% (0.147 0.15)
0-3 @ 4.54% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.137 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.84% (0.095 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.75% (0.049 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 48.47%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Coventry

Birmingham City
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Coventry City
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Birmingham
2-4
Coventry
Pedersen (12'), Gardner (39')
Bacuna (4'), Roberts (40'), Richards (90+3'), Woods (90+5')
Sheaf (40', 45+4'), Rose (71'), O'Hare (90')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
1-1
Coventry
Bela (18' pen.)
Colin (20'), Sunjic (42'), San Jose (44')
Hamer (29')
Hamer (72')
Nov 20, 2020 7.45pm
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Birmingham
2-2
Coventry
Birmingham win 4-1 on penalties
Dean (90'), Bela (120')
Concannon (26'), Harding (109')
Bakayoko (50'), Biamou (114')
Pask (36'), Bakayoko (41')