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Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Wigan logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Wigan

FT(HT: 0-0)
Broadhead (82')
Keane (66'), Naylor (71')
Bennett (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wigan Athletic in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWigan Athletic
27.96% (1.449 1.45)26.14% (-0.111 -0.11)45.9% (-1.335 -1.34)
Both teams to score 50.78% (1.38 1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75% (1.284 1.28)53.25% (-1.282 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (1.078 1.08)74.81% (-1.076 -1.08)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (1.857 1.86)33.92% (-1.854 -1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (1.957 1.96)70.59% (-1.955 -1.96)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)23.15% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (-0.105 -0.1)57.03% (0.105 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 27.96%
    Wigan Athletic 45.89%
    Draw 26.14%
Birmingham CityDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.72% (0.319 0.32)
2-0 @ 4.59% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 2.42% (0.229 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.164 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 27.96%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.405 -0.4)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.224 0.22)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 11.48% (-0.62 -0.62)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.47 -0.47)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.104 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.5% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 45.89%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Wigan

Birmingham City
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Wigan Athletic
20.0%
70
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
2-3
Wigan
Mrabti (39'), Maghoma (81')
Windass (9', 50'), Kipre (73')
Byrne (87')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Wigan
0-3
Birmingham

Burn (90')
Adams (26'), Morrison (45'), Maghoma (61')
Maghoma (64'), Gardner (77')
Mar 7, 2017 7.45pm