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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Sunderland | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Birmingham City | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 14 | Burnley | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Stoke City | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Wigan Athletic | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Middlesbrough | 4 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wigan Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 27.96% ( | 26.14% ( | 45.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.75% ( | 53.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% ( | 74.81% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( | 33.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% ( | 70.59% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( | 23.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( | 57.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 2-1 @ 6.72% ( 2-0 @ 4.59% ( 3-1 @ 2.42% ( 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 3-0 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 27.96% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 2-2 @ 4.91% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 11.48% ( 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0-2 @ 8.4% ( 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0-3 @ 4.1% ( 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0-4 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.89% |