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Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Wigan logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Wigan

FT(HT: 0-0)
Broadhead (82')
Keane (66'), Naylor (71')
Bennett (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Wigan Athletic

As Birmingham have been quite resolute so far, conceding only three goals in four league games, they should be able to keep Wigan largely at bay for 90 minutes. However, their own struggle for fluency up front could result in them being forced to settle for a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wigan Athletic in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWigan Athletic
27.96% (1.449 1.45) 26.14% (-0.111 -0.11) 45.9% (-1.335 -1.34)
Both teams to score 50.78% (1.38 1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75% (1.284 1.28)53.25% (-1.282 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (1.078 1.08)74.81% (-1.076 -1.08)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (1.857 1.86)33.92% (-1.854 -1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (1.957 1.96)70.59% (-1.955 -1.96)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)23.15% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.97% (-0.105 -0.1)57.03% (0.105 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 27.96%
    Wigan Athletic 45.89%
    Draw 26.14%
Birmingham CityDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.72% (0.319 0.32)
2-0 @ 4.59% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 2.42% (0.229 0.23)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.164 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 27.96%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.405 -0.4)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.224 0.22)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 11.48% (-0.62 -0.62)
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.47 -0.47)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.104 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.5% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 45.89%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Wigan

Birmingham City
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
Wigan Athletic
20.0%
70
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
2-3
Wigan
Mrabti (39'), Maghoma (81')
Windass (9', 50'), Kipre (73')
Byrne (87')
Apr 27, 2019 3pm
Dec 22, 2018 3pm
Wigan
0-3
Birmingham

Burn (90')
Adams (26'), Morrison (45'), Maghoma (61')
Maghoma (64'), Gardner (77')
Mar 7, 2017 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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