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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Watford logo

Birmingham
1 - 1
Watford

Hall (19')
Sanderson (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sema (63')
Choudhury (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.34%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawWatford
24.89% (-0.012 -0.01)25.97% (0.0010000000000012 0)49.14% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)54.55% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)75.9% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.82% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)37.17% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)73.96% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)55.66% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 24.89%
    Watford 49.13%
    Draw 25.96%
Birmingham CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 8.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 24.89%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 12.42%
0-2 @ 9.34% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-3 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.63%
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.76% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.74%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.13%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Watford

Birmingham City
17.8%
Draw
15.3%
Watford
66.9%
163
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Watford
3-0
Birmingham
Sema (4'), Chalobah (55'), Gray (80')
Success (44')

Pedersen (35')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Birmingham
0-1
Watford

Kieftenbeld (15'), Pedersen (57')
Pedersen (84')
Deeney (85' pen.)
Capoue (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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