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Championship | Gameweek 10
Sep 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
The Hawthorns
Birmingham logo

West Brom
2 - 3
Birmingham

Wallace (23'), Thomas-Asante (83' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hogan (14', 54', 72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 2-1 QPR
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Next Game: Leicester vs. West Brom
Monday, January 5 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Southampton
Monday, December 29 at 8.15pm in Championship
Next Game: Birmingham vs. Coventry
Sunday, January 4 at 12pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 14.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBirmingham City
64.48% (0.019999999999996 0.02)20.97% (-0.026 -0.03)14.55% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.21% (0.102 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.88% (0.126 0.13)48.12% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72% (0.117 0.12)70.28% (-0.114 -0.11)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (0.049000000000007 0.05)14.19% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.09% (0.092000000000006 0.09)41.91% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.02% (0.088999999999999 0.09)44.98% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.08% (0.071999999999999 0.07)80.91% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 64.47%
    Birmingham City 14.55%
    Draw 20.97%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 12.46% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 12.16% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.33% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 64.47%
1-1 @ 9.96% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 20.97%
0-1 @ 5.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.04%
1-3 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 14.55%

How you voted: West Brom vs Birmingham

West Bromwich Albion
74.0%
Draw
20.0%
Birmingham City
6.0%
50
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 40
Birmingham
1-0
West Brom
Taylor (67' pen.)
Taylor (75'), Bacuna (85')

Livermore (75')
Oct 15, 2021 8pm
gameweek 12
West Brom
1-0
Birmingham
Grant (75')
Clarke (72'), Grant (89')
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
0-4
West Brom
Diangana (50'), Clarke (69'), Grant (73' pen.), Tulloch (86')
Jun 20, 2020 3pm
gameweek 38
West Brom
0-0
Birmingham
Edwards (75')
Crowley (29'), Clarke-Salter (65'), Kieftenbeld (90+1')
Dec 14, 2019 12.30pm
gameweek 22
Birmingham
2-3
West Brom
Jutkiewicz (3'), Dean (47')
Jutkiewicz (52'), Sunjic (59')
Diangana (10'), Austin (73', 81')
Livermore (57'), Austin (94')