Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 64.48%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 14.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.