Middlesbrough vs Sunderland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.