Championship

Championship | Gameweek 8

Sep 5, 2022 at 8pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Sunderland

McGree (25')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reaction

Middlesbrough's Riley McGree celebrates scoring their first goal on September 5, 2022

Middlesbrough beat Sunderland in Tees-Wear derby to climb out of bottom three

Riley McGree scores the only goal of the game as Middlesbrough beat Tony Mowbray's Sunderland 1-0 in the 150th Tees-Wear derby.

Sep 5, 20:55

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

Last Six:

Last Game: Watford 2-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, August 30 at 8pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
21	Cardiff City	8	-4	8
22	Middlesbrough	7	-2	6
23	Huddersfield Town	7	-4	4

Sunderland

Last Six:

Last Game: Sunderland 3-0 Rotherham
Wednesday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Blackburn Rovers	8	-2	12
8	Sunderland	7	3	11
9	Queens Park Rangers	8	1	11

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Sunderland
56.13% ( 0.65)	25.18% ( 0.17)	18.7% ( -0.81)

Both teams to score 43.49% (

-1.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.38% (

-1.52)

57.62% (

1.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.61% (

-1.22)

78.39% (

1.22)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46% (

-0.34)

20.54% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.94% (

-0.54)

53.06% (

0.55)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.74% (

-1.83)

45.26% (

1.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.86% (

-1.49)

81.14% (

1.49)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 56.12%

Sunderland 18.7%

Draw 25.17%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 14.71% ( 0.68) 2-0 @ 11.64% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.24% Total : 56.12%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.55% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.59% Total : 18.7%