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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Sunderland

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Sunderland

McGree (25')
McNair (38'), Clarke (40'), Crooks (72'), Jones (80'), Smith (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pritchard (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland

Mowbray will return to his former club looking to heap further pressure on Wilder, and there is a strong argument that the visitors are the favourites for this contest. However, a derby could bring the best out of Boro, leading us to predict a competitive draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
56.13% (0.65 0.65) 25.18% (0.168 0.17) 18.7% (-0.814 -0.81)
Both teams to score 43.49% (-1.647 -1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.38% (-1.516 -1.52)57.62% (1.519 1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.61% (-1.215 -1.22)78.39% (1.219 1.22)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.34 -0.34)20.54% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.94% (-0.544 -0.54)53.06% (0.547 0.55)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.74% (-1.828 -1.83)45.26% (1.831 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.86% (-1.487 -1.49)81.14% (1.489 1.49)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 56.12%
    Sunderland 18.7%
    Draw 25.17%
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 14.71% (0.68 0.68)
2-0 @ 11.64% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.14% (0.16 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 56.12%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.3% (0.525 0.53)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.244 -0.24)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.62% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 18.7%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Sunderland

Middlesbrough
40.0%
Draw
30.0%
Sunderland
30.0%
40
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
3-3
Middlesbrough
Asoro (11'), Williams (58'), McManaman (90')
Maja (45'), Honeyman (65'), McGeady (84'), Oviedo (90'), McManaman (90')
Clarke-Salter (24')
Bamford (50', 68'), Leadbitter (53' pen.)
Leadbitter (55')
Traore (37')
Jan 6, 2018 1pm
Nov 5, 2017 12.15pm
Apr 26, 2017 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
1-0
Sunderland
De Roon (8')
Friend (28'), Clayton (31'), da Silva (71')

O'Shea (37'), Gibson (45'), Jones (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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