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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Sunderland

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Sunderland

McGree (25')
McNair (38'), Clarke (40'), Crooks (72'), Jones (80'), Smith (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pritchard (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland

Mowbray will return to his former club looking to heap further pressure on Wilder, and there is a strong argument that the visitors are the favourites for this contest. However, a derby could bring the best out of Boro, leading us to predict a competitive draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
56.13% (0.65 0.65) 25.18% (0.168 0.17) 18.7% (-0.814 -0.81)
Both teams to score 43.49% (-1.647 -1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.38% (-1.516 -1.52)57.62% (1.519 1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.61% (-1.215 -1.22)78.39% (1.219 1.22)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.34 -0.34)20.54% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.94% (-0.544 -0.54)53.06% (0.547 0.55)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.74% (-1.828 -1.83)45.26% (1.831 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.86% (-1.487 -1.49)81.14% (1.489 1.49)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 56.12%
    Sunderland 18.7%
    Draw 25.17%
MiddlesbroughDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 14.71% (0.68 0.68)
2-0 @ 11.64% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.14% (0.16 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.121 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 56.12%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.3% (0.525 0.53)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.244 -0.24)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.62% (-0.256 -0.26)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 18.7%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Sunderland

Middlesbrough
40.0%
Draw
30.0%
Sunderland
30.0%
40
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Sunderland
3-3
Middlesbrough
Asoro (11'), Williams (58'), McManaman (90')
Maja (45'), Honeyman (65'), McGeady (84'), Oviedo (90'), McManaman (90')
Clarke-Salter (24')
Bamford (50', 68'), Leadbitter (53' pen.)
Leadbitter (55')
Traore (37')
Jan 6, 2018 1pm
Nov 5, 2017 12.15pm
Apr 26, 2017 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
1-0
Sunderland
De Roon (8')
Friend (28'), Clayton (31'), da Silva (71')

O'Shea (37'), Gibson (45'), Jones (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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