Championship

Championship | Gameweek 5

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
0 - 1
Sunderland

Taylor (45+4'), Delap (48'), Brown (58')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Stewart (45+2')
O'Nien (13'), Matete (18'), Embleton (42'), Wright (49'), Clarke (63'), Pritchard (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

Last Six:

Last Game: Stoke 2-2 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, August 17 at 7.45pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Queens Park Rangers	4	-1	4
18	Stoke City	4	-2	4
19	Wigan Athletic	3	0	3

Sunderland

Last Six:

Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-1 Sunderland
Wednesday, August 17 at 8pm in Championship

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Rotherham United	3	4	5
12	Sunderland	4	0	5
13	Birmingham City	4	0	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Sunderland
42.43% ( 5.95)	26.91% ( 0.83)	30.66% ( -6.79)

Both teams to score 49.97% (

-4.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45% (

-4.52)

55% (

4.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.72% (

-3.86)

76.27% (

3.86)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.36% (

1.16)

25.63% (

-1.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.47% (

1.56)

60.53% (

-1.56)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.19% (

-6.56)

32.8% (

6.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.63% (

-8.01)

69.37% (

8.01)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 42.43%

Sunderland 30.66%

Draw 26.9%

Stoke City	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 11.44% ( 2.18) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( 1.69) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.86) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.32) Other @ 2.3% Total : 42.43%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 1.38) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.62) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -1.18) 0-2 @ 5.22% ( -1.07) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -1.05) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.86) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.63) Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.66%