Home > Football > Championship
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Burnley | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Watford | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Blackburn Rovers | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Stoke City | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | Middlesbrough | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 19 | Luton Town | 6 | -1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 37.52% ( | 26.87% ( | 35.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.13% ( | 53.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.67% ( | 75.33% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( | 27.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.61% ( | 63.39% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.05% ( | 28.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.17% | 64.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.52% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 2-2 @ 5.07% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.61% |