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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Burnley | 6 | 4 | 9 |
7 | Watford | 6 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Blackburn Rovers | 6 | -2 | 9 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Stoke City | 6 | -2 | 7 |
18 | Middlesbrough | 6 | -1 | 6 |
19 | Luton Town | 6 | -1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Middlesbrough |
37.52% ( 0.01) | 26.87% ( -0) | 35.61% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.3% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.13% ( 0.01) | 53.87% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.67% ( 0.01) | 75.33% ( -0.01) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.2% ( 0.01) | 27.8% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.61% ( 0.01) | 63.39% ( -0.01) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% ( 0) | 28.94% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.17% | 64.83% |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.52% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 45 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 89 | 39 | 50 | 97 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 45 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 90 | 57 | 33 | 93 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 69 | 57 | 12 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
> Championship Full Table |