Championship Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Ismaila Sarr 24' goal
  • Francisco Sierralta 61' yellowcard
  • Hamza Choudhury 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 90'+3' goal
  • goal Rodrigo Muniz 4'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 38'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 82'
  • yellowcard Paddy McNair 87'
  • yellowcard Riley McGree 90'+2'

Watford vs Middlesbrough - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
Watford 2 - 3 QPR
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 2 - 1 Swansea
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Chuba Akpom

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result

Watford 37.52% (+0.01)
Draw 26.87% (-0.01)
Middlesbrough 35.61% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.3% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.13% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 53.87% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 24.67% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 75.33% (-0.01)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 72.2% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 27.8% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.61% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.39% (-0.02)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 71.05% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.94% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 35.17%
Under 1.5 64.83%

Score analysis

Watford 37.52%
Draw 26.87%
Middlesbrough 35.61%
Watford
1-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 8.17% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.59% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.49% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.81% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.05% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
Middlesbrough
0-1 @ 9.98% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.61%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Yannick Bolasie 78' goal
  • yellowcard Nathaniel Chalobah 25'
  • goal Ismaila Sarr 32'
Championship Gameweek 1
Sep 11, 2020 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vicarage Road
  • Craig Cathcart 11' goal
  • Ben Wilmot 85' yellowcard
Premier League
Jan 14, 2017 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Stefano Okaka 78' yellowcard
  • Miguel Britos 91' yellowcard
  • Troy Deeney 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Da Silva 92'
Premier League
Oct 16, 2016 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Antonio Barragan 21' yellowcard
  • Cristhian Stuani 38' yellowcard
  • Gaston Ramirez 43' yellowcard
  • Marten de Roon 74' yellowcard
  • goal Jose Holebas 54'
  • yellowcard Nordin Amrabat 65'
Championship
Apr 6, 2015 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Troy Deeney 37' goal
  • Odion Ighalo 65' goal
  • Adlene Guedioura 70' yellowcard
  • Miguel Layun 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adam Reach 26'
  • yellowcard Grant Leadbitter 94'
Championship
Oct 25, 2014 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel Ayala 34' yellowcard
  • Patrick Bamford 46' yellowcard
  • Kike 49' goal
  • Dean Whitehead 51' yellowcard
  • Ryan Fredericks 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fernando Forestieri 39'
  • goal Troy Deeney 61'