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Championship | Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Middlesbrough logo

Watford
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Sarr (24'), Issouf Bayo (90+3')
Sierralta (61'), Choudhury (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Muniz (4')
Crooks (38'), Jones (82'), McNair (87'), McGree (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Watford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Watford.

Result
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
37.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)26.87% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)35.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.3% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.13% (0.010000000000005 0.01)53.87% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)75.33% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)27.8% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (0.012 0.01)63.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.17%64.83%
Score Analysis
    Watford 37.52%
    Middlesbrough 35.61%
    Draw 26.87%
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 6.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.52%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.98% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 35.61%

How you voted: Watford vs Middlesbrough

Watford
69.2%
Draw
17.3%
Middlesbrough
13.5%
52
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2021 12.30pm
Sep 11, 2020 7.45pm
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Oct 16, 2016 1.30pm
rhs 2.0


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