Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.