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Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Middlesbrough logo

Preston
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Riis Jakobsen (35'), Storey (90+1')
Whiteman (29'), Lindsay (49'), Fernandez (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Akpom (8')
Hackney (24'), Howson (34'), Akpom (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 4-2 Preston
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 1-1 Middlesbrough

A game between a team with one of the worst home records in the division against a club with one of the worst away records could throw up any result. Nevertheless, with neither side having impressed in front of goal this campaign, we can only predict a low-scoring stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawMiddlesbrough
32.26% (-0.012 -0.01) 26.47% (-0.044 -0.04) 41.27% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.92% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.22% (0.161 0.16)52.77% (-0.168 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59% (0.137 0.14)74.4% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (0.072000000000003 0.07)30.55% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (0.087000000000003 0.09)66.78% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (0.097000000000008 0.1)25.23% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (0.14 0.14)59.97% (-0.144 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 32.26%
    Middlesbrough 41.27%
    Draw 26.46%
Preston North EndDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.26%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 10.61% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.36% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 41.27%

How you voted: Preston vs Middlesbrough

Preston North End
39.7%
Draw
30.9%
Middlesbrough
29.4%
68
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Preston
4-1
Middlesbrough
Browne (24'), Fry (35' og.), Riis Jakobsen (53', 74' pen.)
van den Berg (45'), Johnson (45'), McCann (56')
Tavernier (48')
Daniels (45'), McNair (45'), Dijksteel (58'), Fry (66'), Jones (72'), Crooks (84')
McNair (73')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Middlesbrough
1-2
Preston
McNair (33')
Evans (77'), Riis Jakobsen (81')
Browne (63'), Evans (75'), Earl (85'), Johnson (90+1')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Middlesbrough
2-0
Preston
Storey (22' og.), Tavernier (51')
Fisher (66')

Potts (62')
Browne (36')
Dec 9, 2020 7pm
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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