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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 32.26% ( | 26.47% ( | 41.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.22% ( | 52.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.59% ( | 74.4% ( |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.44% ( | 30.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.22% ( | 66.78% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( | 25.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.03% ( | 59.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 3-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 2.03% ( Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.26% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0-2 @ 7.31% ( 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0-3 @ 3.36% ( 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 41.27% |