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Championship | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Deepdale
Stoke logo

Preston
0 - 2
Stoke


Hughes (14')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Smallbone (58'), Campbell (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Preston
Wednesday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 3-1 Sheff Utd
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Preston North End 1-1 Stoke City

Even though there have been goals aplenty in Preston's last two fixtures, that does not stop us from feeling that this may not be the most entertaining of affairs. With that in mind, we can only predict a low-scoring draw, a result which would not necessarily suit either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
39.36% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 27.7% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 32.94% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.36% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.61% (0.052999999999997 0.05)57.39% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.79% (0.042999999999999 0.04)78.21% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (0.040999999999997 0.04)28.42% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.82% (0.053999999999995 0.05)64.18% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.56% (0.018000000000001 0.02)32.44% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.04% (0.021000000000001 0.02)68.96% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 39.35%
    Stoke City 32.94%
    Draw 27.69%
Preston North EndDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 39.35%
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.22% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.94%

How you voted: Preston vs Stoke

Preston North End
45.7%
Draw
23.9%
Stoke City
30.4%
46
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2022 3pm
Stoke
1-2
Preston
Wilmot (46')
Allen (64'), Doughty (79'), Ince (90+4')
Potts (59'), Hughes (81')
Hughes (49'), Ledson (90+1')
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Preston
1-1
Stoke
Whiteman (38')
Cunningham (31'), Riis Jakobsen (88')
Powell (6')
Skiri Oestigaard (25'), Wilmot (83'), Tymon (90'), Clucas (90+2')
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Preston
0-1
Stoke

Maguire (90+1')
Barkhuizen (22')
Gregory (39')
McClean (58'), Smith (66'), Brown (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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