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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Stoke City win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Sheffield United |
| 23.29% ( | 26.32% ( | 50.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.9% ( | 57.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.03% ( | 77.97% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.93% | 40.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.29% ( | 76.71% ( |
| Sheffield United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( | 22.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.56% ( | 56.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Sheffield United |
| 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 2-1 @ 5.65% ( 2-0 @ 3.81% ( 3-1 @ 1.72% ( 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 3-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 1.34% Total : 23.29% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0-0 @ 9.12% ( 2-2 @ 4.18% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 13.49% ( 0-2 @ 9.99% ( 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0-3 @ 4.93% ( 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0-4 @ 1.83% ( 1-4 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.38% |