Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Connor Roberts 54' goal
  • goal Harry Clarke 87'

Burnley vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
Cardiff 1 - 1 Burnley
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Nathan Tella

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 2, 2022 12.00pm
Stoke 0 - 4 Watford
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Tyrese Campbell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Burnley 54.54% (-0.38)
Draw 24.38% (-0.08)
Stoke City 21.08% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.15% (+0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.04% (+0.83)
Under 2.5 51.96% (-0.82)
Over 3.5 26.29% (+0.71)
Under 3.5 73.71% (-0.71)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 81.03% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 18.97% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 49.5% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 50.5% (-0.28)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 60.65% (+0.96)
Under 0.5 39.35% (-0.95)
Over 1.5 23.95% (+0.88)
Under 1.5 76.05% (-0.87)

Score analysis

Burnley 54.53%
Draw 24.37%
Stoke City 21.08%
Burnley
1-0 @ 12.4% (-0.35)
2-0 @ 10.31% (-0.23)
2-1 @ 9.62% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.72% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 5.33% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.49% (+0.09)
4-0 @ 2.38% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.22% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-98.27)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 54.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 4.49% (+0.14)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.37%
Stoke City
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.4% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 3.25% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.68% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.4% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-95.50)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 21.08%

Head to Head

Premier League
Apr 22, 2018 1.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Badou Ndiaye 11' goal
  • Erik Pieters 85' yellowcard
  • Badou Ndiaye 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ashley Barnes 25'
  • goal Ashley Barnes 62'
Premier League
Dec 12, 2017 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ashley Barnes 89' goal
Premier League
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Stephen Ward 24' yellowcard
  • Joey Barton 30' yellowcard
  • George Boyd 58' goal
  • George Boyd 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Adam 76'
  • yellowcard Bruno Martins Indi 88'
Premier League
Dec 3, 2016 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Jonathan Walters 20' goal
  • Marc Muniesa 35' goal
  • Marc Muniesa 54' yellowcard
  • Gianelli Imbula 70' yellowcard
  • Mame Biram Diouf 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jeff Hendrick 14'
  • yellowcard Ashley Barnes 88'
Premier League
May 16, 2015 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • George Boyd 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mame Biram Diouf 25'
  • yellowcard Steven N'Zonzi 49'
Premier League
Nov 22, 2014 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Mame Biram Diouf 25' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Walters 32' goal
  • Steve Sidwell 59' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Ings 12'
  • goal Danny Ings 13'
  • yellowcard Danny Ings 39'
  • yellowcard Tom Heaton 70'